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Predicting chances for stars getting dealt at MLB trade deadline

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Predicting chances for stars getting dealt at MLB trade deadline

With just a quartet of teams (White Sox, Marlins, Angels, A’s) certain sellers and some likely sellers reluctant to trade controllable impact players (Tigers, Rockies, Blue Jays), very few stars may be dealt at the deadline.

But eight more teams (Reds, Rays, Nationals, Pirates, Cubs, Diamondbacks, Giants, Mets) with a chance to sell could still spice up the market.

Here’s our list of stars (and near stars) with some chance to be traded (in order of trade value, with odds to go):

1. Tarik Skubal, Tigers, SP

It would take a massive haul to pry this huge star with two more years of control. Jack Flaherty more likely to go. Odds to go: 8-1 against (11 percent).

It would take a massive haul for a team to land Tarik Skubal at the MLB trade deadline. USA TODAY Sports

2. Mason Miller, A’s, RP

With five more years, one exec says it’d take a “Herschel Walker-type trade” for the 103.7 mph man. Odds to go: 5-1 against (16 percent).

Two years of control to go, so the price is understandably high. Odds to go: 4-5 in favor (56 percent).

4. Luis Robert, White Sox, CF

Though the Sox have three more years of control at a reasonable rate, it’s looking possible. Even money (50 percent).

5. Isaac Paredes, Rays, 3B

His name is out there more than Randy Arozarena. Odds to go: 3-1 against (25 percent).

6. Vlad Guerrero Jr., Blue Jays, 1B

He has a year left, and they haven’t come close on a contract. Odds to go: 6-1 against (14 percent).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a year left on his contract. Getty Images

7. Bo Bichette, Blue Jays, SS

He isn’t having his usual year, and few teams seek a shortstop. 8-1 against (11 percent).

8. Nate Eovaldi, Rangers, SP

The Rangers prefer to try to repeat, and with a trio of other star pitchers back or coming back, they could “run the table again” despite so-so start. Odds to go: 5-1 against (16 percent).

9. Tyler Anderson, Angels, SP

This All-Star is a bargain in the second year of his $40 million, three-year deal. Odds to go: 2-5 in favor (71 percent).

10. Yusei Kikuchi, Blue, Jays, SP

The best player the Jays will likely trade. Odds to go: 1-3 in favor (75 percent).

11. Tanner Scott, Marlins, RP

The All-Star closer will go barring utter incompetence. Odds to go: 1-9 in favor (90 percent).

12. Elias Diaz, Rockies, C

Rockies are listening after declining to talk extension. Very good-hitting catcher. Odds to go: 5-1 in favor (83 percent).

13. Chris Bassitt, Blue Jays, SP

Yankees killer could aid Orioles. Has year left so he probably stays. Odds to go: 6-1 against (14 percent).

Chris Bassitt could help the Orioles, especially given his past numbers against the Yankees. AP

14. Brent Rooker, A’s, OF

The near All-Star could help many teams in this year of the pitcher. Odds to go: 1-5 in favor (83 percent).

15. Zach Eflin, Rays, SP

Rays already traded two pitchers. Odds to go: Even money. (50 percent).

16. Kirby Yates, Rangers, RP

All-Star closer is back in form, but Texas remains an unlikely seller. Odds to go: 5-1 against (16 percent).

17. Max Scherzer, Rangers, SP

Not again. Odds to go: 9-1 against (10 percent).

18. Pete Alonso, Mets, 1B

Rental sluggers aren’t deadline hits, and Mets aren’t likely sellers now anyway. Astros and Mariners could use Alonso. Odds to go: 11-1 against (8 percent).

The Mets likely aren’t trade deadline sellers now, which could help Pete Alonso stay in Queens. Corey Sipkin for the NY Post

19. Christian Walker, Diamondbacks, 1B

Another excellent rental slugger but team aims for World Series return. Odds to go: 8-1 against (11 percent).

20. Cody Bellinger, Cubs, OF

Even without the fractured finger, the $30M salary is a deterrent. So are the opt-outs. Odds to go: 20-1 against (5 percent).

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