JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says U.S. could see a ‘hard landing,’ stagflation will be ‘worst outcome’

The CEO was speaking at the JPMorgan Global China Summit in Shanghai.

Dimon said the worst outcome for the U.S. economy will be a “stagflation” scenario, where inflation continues to rise, but growth slows amid high unemployment.

“I look at the range of outcomes and again, the worst outcome for all of us is what you call stagflation, higher rates, recession. That means corporate profits will go down and we’ll get through all of that. I mean, the world has survived that but I just think the odds have been higher than other people think.”

However, he said that “the consumer is still in good shape” even if the economy slips into recession.

He pointed to the unemployment rate, which has been below 4% for about two years, adding that wages, home prices and stock prices have been going up.

That said, Dimon points out that consumer confidence levels are low. “It seems to be mostly because of inflation…The extra money from COVID has been coming down. It’s still there, you know, at the bottom 50% it’s kind of gone. So it’s I’m gonna call it normal, not bad.”

Minutes from the Fed’s May meeting released Wednesday showed that policymakers have grown more concerned about inflation, with members of the Federal Open Market Committee indicating they lacked confidence to ease monetary policy and cut rates.

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