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FAAB & Waiver Wire Report (Week 11)

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FAAB & Waiver Wire Report (Week 11)

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters.

Batters

Jesse Winker: An unsuspecting source of stolen bases with 11 this season and a total up to that point in his career. The steals, a .261 AVG, and 6 HR make him a solid roster option.

Blake Perkins: With 15 starts in the last 16 games, he’s been productive across the board (5 HR, 6 SB, .260 AVG).

Alec Burleson: Providing power (8 HR) and batting average (.278 AVG).

Mark Vientos: The Mets third base job is his while hitting .333/.392/.621 with 5 HR.

Jose Miranda: Hitting .280/.313/.465 with 20 straight starts.

Heliot Ramos: Sharting his way to 5 HR and a .320 AVG (.448 BABIP).

Matt Vierling: Hitting in the top third of the lineup with a .282 AVG and 7 HR.

Nelson Velázquez: While he sits when Perez is the DH, he has hit 8 HR but with a .216 AVG.

Otto Lopez: Starting and slowly moving up the lineup while hitting .295/.324/.421 with 3 HR and 4 SB.

Andrew McCutchen: Leading off while hitting .228/.332/.378 with 8 HR.

Edmundo Sosa: Solid Tree Turner replacement (.294/.357/.539, 4 HR, 2 SB) and is getting some outfield reps.

Miguel Andujar: In 50 PA, he hasn’t walked, but does have a .286 AVG with 2 HR. He is going with a heavy groundball approach (-1 LA, 61% GB%).

Max Schuemann: Batting ninth every game while hitting a respectable .256/.324/.368 with 3 HR and 3 SB.

Spencer Horwitz: Made his 2024 debut on Saturday while playing second base. In AAA this season, he was hitting .335/.456/.514 with 4 HR and 3 SB.

Corey Julks: Starting and hitting in the top third of the lineup. So far this season, he is hitting .293/.369/.483 with 2 HR and 2 SB.

Daniel Schneemann: It’s tough right now to figure out his playing time. He’s started in three of four games while sitting against a lefty. He’s played outfield, shortstop, and second base so far. He’s hitting in the bottom third of the lineup. In AAA, he hit .294/.428/.556 with 10 HR and 4 SB. So far in the majors, he’s hitting a 1.323 OPS.

Justyn-Henry Malloy: Four starts at DH since being promoted while hitting .182/.308/.455 with 1 HR. Opposing pitchers have only thrown him 40% fastballs leading to a 31% K%.

Connor Norby: Three starts in five games while hitting .200/.200/.500. I wish I was more confident about his playing time and will put him right ahead of the platoon bats.

Luke Raley: Back to being a strong-side platoon bat with five righties on the schedule next week.

Joc Pederson: Decent streamer against righties. With only four righties on the schedule for next week, he’s probably a sit.

David Hamilton and Enmanuel Valdez: Strong-side platoon bats with just four righties on the schedule next week.

David Dahl: He lives as Brandon Marsh’s replacement. While he was hitting .340/.416/.660 in 166 AAA plate appearances, his fantasy value will come down to playing time. I suspect Dahl will be demoted once Marsh comes off the IL.

Brendan Rodgers: Hamstring injury has him on the bench right now.

Catchers

Patrick Bailey: Playing two-thirds of the time while hitting .276/.333/.425 with 4 HR and 2 SB this season.

Henry Davis: Since returning from the minors, he has a 64% K%.

Batter IL Stashes

Noelvi Marte: He can start rehab appearances on June 11 and be reinstated from his suspension on June 27th.

CBS Batter Rostership Rates

Name Previous Roster% Current Roster% Change
Jesse Winker LF  WAS 40% 53% 13%
Alec Burleson DH  STL 38% 41% 3%
Matt Vierling 3B  DET 37% 64% 27%
Noelvi Marte 3B  CIN 35% 46% 11%
Joc Pederson DH  ARI 30% 33% 3%
Patrick Bailey C  SF 29% 31% 2%
Luke Raley LF  SEA 20% 25% 5%
Mark Vientos 3B  NYM 18% 43% 25%
Henry Davis C  PIT 17% 22% 5%
Brendan Rodgers 2B  COL 15% 19% 4%
Edmundo Sosa SS  PHI 15% 17% 2%
Nelson Velazquez DH  KC 14% 16% 2%
Jose Miranda 3B  MIN 11% 17% 6%
Blake Perkins CF  MIL 11% 13% 2%
Miguel Andujar LF  OAK 10% 39% 29%
David Hamilton SS  BOS 9% 15% 6%
Connor Norby 2B  BAL 8% 17% 9%
Andrew McCutchen DH  PIT 8% 11% 3%
Heliot Ramos LF  SF 7% 33% 26%
Otto Lopez 2B  MIA 6% 7% 1%
Justyn-Henry Malloy 3B  DET 5% 9% 4%
Max Schuemann SS  OAK 3% 5% 2%
Enmanuel Valdez 2B  BOS 3% 4% 1%
Corey Julks RF  CHW 2% 3% 1%
Spencer Horwitz 1B  TOR 1% 2% 1%
David Dahl RF  PHI 0% 2% 2%
Daniel Schneemann 2B  CLE 0% 1% 1%

Starting Pitchers

Tylor Megill: So far, so good with a 3.00 ERA (4.09 xFIP), 1.24 WHIP, and 10.3 K/9 in 21 IP. Average fastball velocity is up. Leaning away from his fastball. New splitter (27% SwStr%). He should be close to 100% rostered.

Jake Irvin: Example #4595 of why dropping your walk rate (4.0 BB/9 to 1.7 BB/9) can save a career. If he can keep the walks under control, he’s a solid mid-3.00 ERA talent.

Mitchell Parker: He seems to be grooving into a 3.50 to 3.75 ERA pitcher who can be started against any opponent.

José Soriano: While his 7.7 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 aren’t elite, his 60% GB% stands out. A solid high-3.00 ERA talent.

Hurston Waldrep: Will be making his debut on Sunday. Across two minor-league levels, the 22-year-old has a 3.09 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and 9.6 K/9 in 55 IP. Add now and see how his debut goes. I’m a little worried that walks will be an issue.

Albert Suarez: While he is averaging 4.9 IP per start, his stats as a starter are must roster (2.15 ERA, 3.80 xFIP, 8.3 K/9, 1.13 WHIP).

Patrick Sandoval: On the season, Sandoval has 10 decent starts and three blowups. Let’s see if you can spot those blowups.

While his ERA estimators and projections point to a sub-4.00 ERA pitcher, he walks a few too many batters (3.8 BB/9, 1.43 WHIP).

Simeon Woods Richardson: Woods Richardson should be rostered but probably a 50% streamer depending on the league depth. His ERA estimators are around 4.00 and that’s a fine valuation of him while he has a 3.05 ERA at the moment. I suspect he sees some home run regression (0.8 HR/9, 38% GB%) to his projection of 1.2 HR/9.

Cade Povich: A rough debut where he walked more batters (4) than he struck out (2) allowing 6 ER in 5 IP. He destroyed AAA with a 3.18 ERA (3.89 xFIP), 1.11 WHIP, and 11.9 K/9. It’s unclear if/when he’ll start again in the majors. He hasn’t been demoted yet, so he might get another shot. His relatively new cutter seems to be his best offering with a 17% SwStr% in AAA and 19% SwStr% in the majors.

David Peterson: I had hope for Peterson and then he lays a couple of duds with just 5 K in 11 IP (5.02 xFIP). He still needs to be rostered but he’s far from a must-start.

Luis Medina: In his first major league start this season, Medina was great with 0 ER, 6 K, and 2 BB in 5.2 IP. In previous seasons, the 25-year-old struggled with walks. His 34% Ball% points to a 2.3 BB/9 so there is a sign he the walks under control. He has a nice pitch mix of 96-mph four-seamer, sinker (67% GB%), slider (22% SwStr%), and curve (13% SwStr%).

Miles Mikolas: Home runs have been an issue (4.52 FIP, 1.5 HR/9) but he has been decent since May 12 (3.72 ERA, 3.87 xFIP, 6.5 K/9, and 1.00 WHIP). I can’t find any obvious changes. Streaming option.

JP Sears: He’s been able to generate weak contact so far (.239 BABIP, 1.0 HR) to help him to a 3.93 ERA (4.74 xFIP). I’m worried the results could worsen for him with his fastball velocity down over 1.5 mph.

Adam Mazur: In Mazur’s debut, he posted mixed results with 2 K, 4 BB, and 1 ER over 6 IP. He attacked hitters with a 95-mph fastball, slider (14% SwStr%), and change (17% SwStr%). Across two minor league levels, the 23-year-old posted a 3.86 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and 8.8 K/9 over 51 IP. He needs to shake off the nerves and find the plate in his next start (35% Zone%).

Andrew Heaney: With his lowest home run rate since 2020 (1.3 HR/9), he’s keeping his 3.99 ERA and similar ERA estimators in check. With the weather heating up, his home run rate should increase also. Stream with caution.

Cody Poteet: While he’s not striking out many batters (6.3 K/9), a .209 BABIP has led to a 0.96 WHIP and 1.72 ERA. He should get a few more starts until Cole returns from the IL.

Spencer Turnbull: More news of Turnbull staying in the bullpen. One of the best starting pitcher stashes and can be streamed in an emergency.

Joey Estes: I just wrote up Estes for Big Kid Adds and liked what I saw even with a perplexing profile. Roster and bench.

Spencer Arrighetti: While the 24-year-old, is generating strikeouts, he’s allowing too many walks (5.1 BB/9) and there are no signs of improvement (5.8 BB/9 for his last three starts). His 1.67 WHIP is unrosterable and will just drag down the category. Points-league only play.

Mitch Spence: Remember he split time between starting (4.36 xFIP) and relieving (3.30 xFIP). The combination looks great but a 4.50 ERA talent is not worth rostering. Other arms are worth monitoring over him.

Bailey Falter: I guess his 3.69 ERA has some fantasy manager’s attention but nothing points to a rosterable pitcher with a sub-6.0 K/9 and 1.5 HR/9.

Michael Lorenzen: A .244 BABIP (career .281 BABIP) keeps his 3.05 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in check. They will regress and I would not want him near my roster. His 4.3 BB/9 makes him unrosterable in a league that counts WHIP. His ERA estimators value him as a mid to high-4.00’s ERA. Sounds right.

Ryne Nelson: I’m not sure where the demand is being generated, but he’s been horrible this season and bad teams would have no issues lighting him up. Ignore.

Blake Walston: A 5.1 BB/9 in AAA. A 6.4 BB/9 in the majors. His 2.84 ERA is about to explode (5.91 xFIP). Unrosterable until the walks come down.

Daniel Lynch IV: He’s a 5.00 ERA talent being rostered for some bizarre reason.

Pitching Prospect

Carlos F. Rodriguez: In AAA, the 22-year-old posted a 5.17 ERA (5.12 xFIP), 1.29 WHIP, and 9.5 K/9. He is supposed to be Milwaukee’s Tuesday starter.

Starting Pitcher IL Stashes

Robbie Ray: Already had his first rehab start.

Clayton Kershaw: Starting his rehab assignment within the week.

Jeffrey Springs: One known setback and struggling in his first appearances.

CBS Starter Rostership Rates

Name Previous Roster% Current Roster% Change
Clayton Kershaw SP  LAD 37% 44% 7%
Max Meyer SP  MIA 34% 36% 2%
Mitchell Parker SP  WAS 34% 35% 1%
Michael Lorenzen SP  TEX 33% 43% 10%
Simeon Woods Richardson SP  MIN 31% 32% 1%
Patrick Sandoval SP  LAA 31% 32% 1%
Tylor Megill SP  NYM 29% 47% 18%
JP Sears SP  OAK 28% 32% 4%
Jeffrey Springs SP  TB 27% 30% 3%
Spencer Turnbull RP  PHI 27% 29% 2%
Miles Mikolas SP  STL 25% 28% 3%
Jose Soriano SP  LAA 24% 30% 6%
Jake Irvin SP  WAS 22% 38% 16%
Bailey Falter SP  PIT 22% 28% 6%
Robbie Ray SP  SF 22% 26% 4%
Cade Povich SP  BAL 20% 24% 4%
Andrew Heaney SP  TEX 18% 20% 2%
Hurston Waldrep SP  ATL 15% 18% 3%
Spencer Arrighetti SP  HOU 11% 23% 12%
Albert Suarez RP  BAL 9% 17% 8%
Ryne Nelson SP  ARI 8% 10% 2%
David Peterson SP  NYM 5% 7% 2%
Joey Estes SP  OAK 4% 11% 7%
Mitch Spence RP  OAK 4% 8% 4%
Blake Walston RP  ARI 4% 6% 2%
Cody Poteet SP  NYY 4% 8% 4%
Adam Mazur SP  SD 3% 13% 10%
Luis Medina SP  OAK 2% 6% 4%
Daniel Lynch SP  KC 2% 4% 2%
Carlos Rodriguez SP  MIL 2% 3% 1%

Relievers: Saves-based ranks.

Jeff Hoffman: Good reliever who is sharing the closer’s role.

Yimi García: Good reliever who is temporarily the closer.

Jalen Beeks: Below-average reliever who is the closer.

Ryne Stanek: Good reliever who stepped in as the closer for a few games.

Jeremiah Estrada: Great reliever who is the backup closer.

Fernando Cruz: Good reliever who is the backup closer.

Bryan Hudson: Good reliever who is the backup closer.

Cade Smith: Good reliever who is a couple of steps away from closing.

CBS Reliever Rostership Rates

Name Previous Roster% Current Roster% Change
Jeff Hoffman RP  PHI 29% 33% 4%
Jeremiah Estrada RP  SD 22% 29% 7%
Yimi Garcia RP  TOR 19% 39% 20%
Bryan Hudson RP  MIL 13% 17% 4%
Jalen Beeks RP  COL 13% 14% 1%
Cade Smith RP  CLE 8% 10% 2%
Fernando Cruz RP  CIN 5% 8% 3%
Ryne Stanek RP  SEA 3% 10% 7%
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