Beryl To Make Landfall In Texas As A Hurricane | Weather.com

Tropical Storm Beryl is starting to strengthen and h​urricane warnings have been issued for parts of the Texas coast where it will bring rainfall flooding, storm surge, high winds and tornadoes.

B​eryl is expected to become a hurricane before landfall and rapid intensification is possible late Sunday into early Monday.

Current status: Beryl is centered about 135 miles southeast of Corpus Christi, Texas, and is moving toward the northwest. Beryl will intensify Sunday as it tracks toward the Texas coast for its final landfall on Monday morning.

T​ropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from Beryl’s center.

B​elow is a look at the current location, information and satellite for Beryl based on the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.

Hurricane and storm surge alerts are in effect:

• Hurricane Warning: From Baffin Bay northward to San Luis Pass, Texas. T​his means that hurricane conditions (winds 75+ mph) are expected somewhere in the warning area by early Monday.
• ​Storm Surge Warning: From the north entrance of the Padre Island National Seashore to Sabine Pass, including Corpus Christi Bay, Matagorda Bay and Galveston Bay. This means that life-threatening storm surge flooding is expected.

• T​ropical Storm Warning: From the mouth of the Rio Grande to Baffin Bay, Texas and from San Luis Pass to Sabin Pass, Texas. Tropical storm conditions (winds 40+ mph) are expected by Sunday night in these locations.
• Hurricane Watch: From San Luis Pass to Galveston Island, Texas. T​his means that hurricane conditions (winds 75+ mph) are possible by Monday morning in these locations.

Here’s the latest projected path and intensity forecast for Beryl: Beryl is tracking northwestward toward a weakness in subtropical high pressure over the southern United States and an upper-level low-pressure system located to Beryl’s west.

Landfall of Beryl as a hurricane is predicted to occur somewhere from near the Houston and Galveston areas southward to Corpus Christi Monday morning.

H​ere’s a look at the general timeline based on the latest NHC forecast.

• Sunday: Beryl will begin to affect the Texas coast with gusty winds and rain. Steady intensification is expected.
• B​y late Sunday: Preparations along the Texas coast for hurricane and/or tropical storm conditions should be completed. Beryl is expected to regain hurricane status. Rapid intensification is possible from Sunday night until landfall Monday morning.
• M​onday: Landfall is expected on the Texas coast with damaging winds, storm surge, heavy rain and a few tornadoes.

(​MORE: What The Forecast Cone Means, And Doesn’t)

P​otential U.S. Impacts:

Damaging wind threat: The most likely area for damaging winds is along the middle Texas coast, including Matagorda Bay. Everyone in the hurricane warning area should prepare for hurricane-force winds until the forecast becomes more certain.

These winds will arrive late Sunday into early Monday, then continue on Monday. The winds could cause power outages and tree damage in some areas.

Storm-surge flooding, high surf and rip current threats: Beryl will contribute to elevated water levels this weekend along the coast, with the peak storm surge arriving along and to the north and east of where the center makes landfall Monday. Storm surge inundation could be 4 to 7 feet above normal tide levels if the peak surge arrives at high tide.

This could inundate low-lying locations on the coast, as we saw with Tropical Storm Alberto in these areas during June.

Beryl will also generate high surf and rip currents along the Texas coast this weekend before the storm arrives. The rip current threat will even extend farther east along the northern Gulf Coast, as well.

K​eep this in mind if you have holiday weekend beach plans along these stretches of the coastline.

Rainfall flooding is probable: Heavy rainfall will occur both near the coast and inland over eastern Texas and other parts of the South during the first half of the new week.

Locations from the middle Texas coast into eastern Texas might see 5 to 10 inches of rain, with localized totals up to 15 inches not out of the question.

F​lood watches are in effect across parts of Florida for this heavy rainfall. Don’t drive through flooded roadways.

H​ere’s the general timeline showing where there is an elevated threat of excessive rainfall that might trigger flooding.

-M​onday-Monday night: Middle and upper Texas coast into eastern Texas, western Louisiana and the ArkLaTex region.

-T​uesday-Tuesday night: Eastern Texas into parts of Arkansas, Louisiana, northwest Mississippi, western Tennessee and Missouri.

A t​ornado threat is expected: Landfalling tropical cyclones often produce a tornado threat in bands of rain as they near the coast and move inland. Here’s where a few tornadoes are possible from Beryl, based on the latest forecast from NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center.

-​Sunday-Sunday Night: Middle and upper Texas coasts.

-​Monday-Monday Night: Eastern Texas, western Louisiana and southwestern Arkansas.

Recap

I​t began on Friday, June 28 when the National Hurricane Center began advisories on Tropical Depression Two just over 1,200 miles east of Barbados. Six hours later it became Tropical Storm Beryl.

The following afternoon it was already Hurricane Beryl. By Sunday, June 30, the first on record in the Atlantic Basin in June. That’s a depression-to-Cat. 4 rapid intensification spurt in just 48 hours.

(​MORE: The Early-Season Records Beryl Shattered)

After undergoing an eyewall replacement and passing between Barbados and Tobago, Beryl made landfall just after 11 a.m. EDT Monday, July 1 over the Grenadan island of Carriacou with maximum sustained winds of 150 mph. Among only two other Category 4 hurricanes in history near Grenada and St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Beryl was the strongest by wind speed.

D​evastation was widespread on Carriacou Island, with vegetation largely stripped bare and numerous homes damaged or destroyed.

D​owned trees, flooded streets, power outages and storm surge flooding was reported in the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados and Tobago.

While its eyewall passed south of Barbados, a 69 mph gust was clocked early Monday at Grantley Adams International Airport, the island’s major airport. Grenada clocked a wind gust up to 121 mph as the center of Beryl tracked just north of the island. A gust to 64 mph was reported on St. Lucia, as well.

J​ust 12 hours after its southern Windward Island landfall, Beryl became the record earliest Category 5 Atlantic Basin hurricane on the evening of July 1. The following day, its winds topped out at 165 mph, the strongest July hurricane by wind speed on record in the Atlantic Basin.

Beryl brushed the southern coast of Jamaica on Wednesday, bringing heavy rainfall and damaging winds. Winds gusted as high as 81 mph at Norman Manley International Airport on a peninsula south of the country’s capital city, Kingston, Wednesday afternoon, damaging a section of roof. This was the strongest hurricane to strike Jamaica in almost 17 years, since Hurricane Dean in 2007.

A​s Beryl made its closest approach, winds gusted to 54 mph on Grand Cayman Island on July 4.

Beryl made landfall near Tulum, Mexico, early Friday morning with estimated winds of 110 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center. It was the peninsula’s strongest hurricane since Hurricane Delta in Oct. 2020.

W​ind gusts up to 81 mph were clocked just south of Playa del Carmen in the core of Beryl Friday morning. A gust to 48 mph was clocked on Isla Mujeres, just offshore of Cancún.

M​ORE ON WEATHER.COM

-​ Hurricane Beryl’s Most Eye-Popping Satellite Images

-​ How To Prepare For Hurricane Season

-​ What’s Been Deadliest In US Hurricanes, Tropical Storms Lately May Surprise You